Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 203.472108 237.661250 277.475772 327.674896 389.855646 465.113050 5.642635e+02
2025-07-20 166.404358 211.373400 269.766467 352.829265 470.795864 636.934007 8.974264e+02
2025-07-27 139.823990 187.449346 253.871205 356.476074 517.165433 770.813523 1.228024e+03
2025-08-03 123.553538 172.838013 245.622930 365.979508 570.899806 928.947715 1.664657e+03
2025-08-10 109.451050 158.328755 233.883659 365.969588 607.241666 1067.850581 2.134917e+03
2025-08-17 99.433551 148.157280 226.604179 370.877939 652.314316 1237.590221 2.768482e+03
2025-08-24 90.289831 137.904350 217.246678 369.671087 684.716435 1392.786935 3.471287e+03
2025-08-31 82.864169 129.402536 209.399315 369.363908 718.439481 1564.073775 4.352883e+03
2025-09-07 77.637029 123.905330 205.917105 376.638988 770.491317 1803.054471 5.675688e+03
2025-09-14 70.096656 113.494855 192.010291 359.955415 762.503629 1878.343225 6.478700e+03
2025-09-21 65.527789 107.890822 186.391440 359.792534 794.972862 2086.879464 8.100151e+03
2025-09-28 61.877006 103.560507 182.640543 362.998117 837.188265 2348.775291 1.037873e+04
2025-10-05 60.264480 103.269763 187.694406 389.544637 958.798856 2986.516185 1.641248e+04
2025-10-12 58.895936 103.351594 193.708746 420.560339 1109.875203 3887.581800 2.793445e+04
2025-10-19 55.486320 98.989548 189.588913 425.098946 1180.726490 4524.489842 4.070167e+04
2025-10-26 52.971528 96.132976 188.330058 436.968014 1282.956525 5440.339047 6.456523e+04
2025-11-02 49.916736 91.825253 183.175568 436.955601 1343.241895 6214.122244 9.579858e+04
2025-11-09 47.546313 88.708251 180.353116 443.093098 1431.701906 7304.641852 1.558509e+05
2025-11-16 44.961111 84.872422 175.316303 441.583579 1489.399538 8293.225804 2.444395e+05
2025-11-23 42.677439 81.477758 170.924958 441.199409 1553.410211 9469.046864 4.059175e+05
2025-11-30 41.065132 79.414231 169.571188 450.302958 1667.919768 11360.559355 8.271489e+05
2025-12-07 38.172827 74.230890 159.723251 429.441981 1626.810367 11657.129841 1.116733e+06
2025-12-14 36.460230 71.595719 156.158030 429.238594 1693.386219 13331.121412 2.277529e+06